NHL Hat Trick 3/14 🥅 12 GAMES!!! 🍿🍿🍿👀👀👀

March 14, 2023

Written by LineStar 7X MVP and DFS Life Coach: @ZeroInDenver.

Got NHL DFS questions or want to see something covered in this newsletter? Hit me up in LineStar Chat.

12 GAME SLATE, here's everything you need to know to be successful tonight!

REAL Quick - before we do the thing....

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PS) If you signup using promo code LINESTAR, today e-mail [email protected] and he'll give your choice LineStar 👕 or 🧢!

Welcome to the NHL Hat Trick - Congrats to @LineStarTyler on his big night last night!

FYI - If you're new, I try to keep these short and sweet so I can highlight who my model likes the most, as well as my personal favorite at each position, along with a favorite "value" play, and favorite stacks. SCROLL UP for my strategy guide that's linked at the top if you want my take on how to win at NHL DFS

Please hit me up in chat if you have any questions!

12 games are on tap today. I know that can be instantly overwhelming. If you struggle with large slates, I invite you to look at the smaller turbo and express slates for tonight.

LETSSGOOOOOO!!!!!!!

Tonight's Slate

Here are the team numbers for tonight's slate (looking at the last 10 games):

Goaltender

Here are my three favorite strategies with goalies:

  • Pick a goalie with a high win probability

  • Pick a goalie that correlates with one of your stacks

  • Let it ride with a cheap goalie that will face a lot of shots

My favorite tonight is:

🚨Goalies are not always confirmed before locks. Please double-check 20 minutes before the game starts to confirm! 🚨

Spend Up On...

Let's be honest. You don't need me to tell you to play McDavid, Matthews, or MacKinnon on any given night. They're the best players in the league and are priced up for a reason.

So let's look at who I have ranked as the best studs on the slate and then see who bubbles up above the $7000 salary mark.

My favorite:

Stud Parlay (I run this as singles as well):

Center

My favorite:

Wing

My favorite:

Defensemen

Spending Down

Some people call these "value" plays or "salary savers", but these are players that I like for tonight that fit at the lowest salary tier. It could be they're playing on one of the top forward lines, or it could be that they've been playing well, but these are my cheap calls for a skater to pick up a goal or assist.

My favorite:

Line Stacks

Before going further, let's make this clear:

You 👏 dont 👏 have 👏 to 👏 stack.

Line stacking is a common strategy in GPP. You’ll see many winning lineups where players are stacked from the same forward lines or power play lines. DraftKings allows a maximum of 6 skaters from the same team (with skaters from at least 3 teams) and FanDuel allows a maximum of 4 skaters from one team. In tournaments, you'll often see 3-3 stacks (meaning 3 players from one team and 3 from another team), 4-3, and 3-3-2 stacks.

Here are my favorite stacks (ranked in order of preference) for tonight:

Favorite line: CGY1

Risk it for the Biscuit line: VGK2

Today's Props & Parlay 🧾

Today's Goalscorer Picks:

🚨Sidney Crosby - PIT vs MON

🚨Tomas Hertl - SJS vs CLS

🚨 Leon Draisaitl - EDM vs OTT

Today's Parlay(s)!:

SOG Parlay

Data Data Data...

For the first time, I'm making the data from my sheets, and my simulation numbers available:

These numbers get updated throughout the day. Look for the timestamp to see when they were last updated:

Disclaimer...

Keep in mind, these are MY favorites. You should all do your own research, and you might (and probably should) disagree with me in some spots. Don't be afraid to go your own way.

If you take anything away from this, remember that hockey is a high-variance sport. The top-ranked player in each category could be a great play or be a dud tonight. Going all-in on any player probably isn't a great move.

With DFS, I try to think of these things:

  • Who makes the most sense to play?

  • Where is the field leaning?

  • Who has been the most consistent?

  • Who has the most upside?

  • Who will benefit me most if others are wrong?

Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.