NHL Hat Trick 11/23 🥅 Everyone's Playing So Play Everyone

November 23, 2022

Written by LineStar Fantasy Life Coach @ZeroInDenver.

Got NHL DFS questions or want to see something covered in this newsletter? Hit me up in LineStar Chat.

15 GAME SLATE, here's everything you need to know to be successful tonight!

REAL Quick - before we do the thing....

Let's chat about UnderDog Fantasy is legal prop betting in almost every state. Even you California who recently shot down the chance at legal sports gambling 🫠

Seriously... Legal prop betting, and it's really well done.

Help yourself out, help us out; little a known fact Casino promotion/bonuses are one of the BIGGEST edges you'll ever get.

After you signup, go to the Pick'Em section, thats where you pick Higher/Lower ( aka over/under) and prop pick away for up to 20x your money if you get 5 picks right, but you can do as few as 2 picks.

You can even use LineStar NHL Props Edge+ to help you make your picks.

PS) If you signup using promo code LINESTAR, today e-mail [email protected] and he'll give your choice LineStar 👕 or 🧢!

Welcome to the NHL Hat Trick.

FYI - If you're new, I try to keep these short and sweet so I can highlight who my model likes the most, as well as my personal favorite at each position, along with a favorite "value" play, and favorite stacks. SCROLL UP for my strategy guide that's linked at the top if you want my take on how to win at NHL DFS

Please hit me up in chat if you have any questions!

15 games are on tap today. I know that can be instantly overwhelming. If you struggle with large slates, I invite you to look at the smaller turbo and express slates for tonight.

LETSSGOOOOOO!!!!!!!

Tonight's Slate

Here are the team numbers for tonight's slate:

Keep in mind - these are numbers for the last 10 regular season games.

Goaltender

Here are my three favorite strategies with goalies:

  • Pick a goalie with a high win probability

  • Pick a goalie that correlates with one of your stacks

  • Let it ride with a cheap goalie that will face a lot of shots

My favorite tonight is:

🚨Goalies are not always confirmed before locks. Please double-check 20 minutes before the game starts to confirm! 🚨

Spend Up On...

Let's be honest. You don't need me to tell you to play McDavid, Matthews, or MacKinnon on any given night. They're the best players in the league and are priced up for a reason.

So let's look at who I have ranked as the best studs on the slate and then see who bubbles up above the $7000 salary mark.

My favorite:

Center

My favorite:

Wing

My favorite:

Defensemen

My favorite:

Spending Down

Some people call these "value" plays or "salary savers", but these are players that I like for tonight that fit at the lowest salary tier. It could be they're playing on one of the top forward lines, or it could be that they've been playing well, but these are my cheap calls for a skater to pick up a goal or assist.

My favorite:

Line Stacks

Before going further, let's make this clear:

You 👏 dont 👏 have 👏 to 👏 stack.

Line stacking is a common strategy in GPP. You’ll see many winning lineups where players are stacked from the same forward lines or power play lines. DraftKings allows a maximum of 6 skaters from the same team (with skaters from at least 3 teams) and FanDuel allows a maximum of 4 skaters from one team. In tournaments, you'll often see 3-3 stacks (meaning 3 players from one team and 3 from another team), 4-3, and 3-3-2 stacks.

Here are my favorite stacks (ranked in order of preference) for tonight:

Favorite line: BUF1

Risk it for the Biscuit line: MON3

Today's Props & Parlay 🧾

I have THREE parlays for tonight. Play them as singles or break it down to smaller parlays of your favorite. Good luck!

The first parlay is a parlay of all my favorite skaters tonight:

Then a stud point parlay...

..and a SUPER MEGA DONKEY parlay...

Data Data Data...

For the first time, I'm making the data from my sheets, and my simulation numbers available:

Slate

Main Slate:,10/20/2022,Numbers reflect team's last 10 regular season games

TEAM,CF%,CF60,CA60,HDCF60,HDCA60,SF60,SA60,SOT,Sh%,SCF60,SCA60,PDO,GF60,GA60,ProjGoals

ARI,40,45.6,68.5,10.7,16.6,26.1,37.7,57.20%,12.6,23.6,39.2,1.02,3.3,4,3.25

MON,47.9,55.7,60.5,10.6,13.6,30.7,32.7,55.10%,10.4,26...

These numbers get updated throughout the day. Look for the timestamp to see when they were last updated:

Disclaimer...

Keep in mind, these are MY favorites. You should all do your own research, and you might (and probably should) disagree with me in some spots. Don't be afraid to go your own way.

If you take anything away from this, remember that hockey is a high-variance sport. The top-ranked player in each category could be a great play or be a dud tonight. Going all-in on any player probably isn't a great move.

With DFS, I try to think of these things:

  • Who makes the most sense to play?

  • Where is the field leaning?

  • Who has been the most consistent?

  • Who has the most upside?

  • Who will benefit me most if others are wrong?

Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.