Written by LineStar Fantasy Life Coach @ZeroInDenver.

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Welcome back to the NHL Hat Trick.

ICYMI - The NHL Season Preview & Strategy guide goes over the basics of NHL DFS and what I look for when researching players.

5 games on the slate tonight. Today, I've been thinking more of correlation and how much it matters in NHL DFS. Honestly, I think it matters a lot less, especially on DraftKings where shot volume appears to be more important than assists. I'll expand on these thoughts below...

But first, let's dive into tonight's slate.

Tonight's Slate

Here's numbers on the teams from their past 10 games. Generally, I start my research by looking for teams in good spots. For example, teams that score goals (GF60) that are facing teams that give up goals (GA60). I also look at teams that shoot a lot (CF60) that are facing teams that give up a lot of shots (CA60).

Goaltender Rankings

How to Interpret This: I've added LineStar Projected Ownership, LineStar Projected Fantasy Points, and Goalie GAA (Goals Saved Above Average), and Saves/60, along with my projected upside for each goalie. Generally, I'm looking for goalies that I think will get a win with a positive (green) GSAA and a high saves number.

As always - double-check that your goalie is starting before the game starts.

My Favorite:

Brian Elliot - PHI (DK: $7600, FD: $7900) *CONFIRMED STARTER*

No Panarin and Zibanejad has forgotten how to score goals. Elliott hasn't been great, but I'm willing to risk it against a Rangers team that is scoring 2.4 goals a game.

Forwards and Defensemen Rankings

How to Interpret C/D/W charts: In NHL DFS, I think it's most important to look at peripheral stats instead of goals which is why I put so much emphasis on shots. This includes shot attempts, high danger shot attempts (those shot attempts closest to the net with the highest probability of going into the net), and shots on goal. I've included projections and average fantasy points to see how each compares so you can more easily find value.

Center

My Favorite

Auston Matthews - VAN (DK: $9000, FD: $9300)

Going right back to the well. No way the Leafs get shut out again. Multi-point upside against a Calgary team allowing 3.1 goals a game.

Wing

My Favorite:

James van Riemsdyk - PHI (DK: $6500, FD: $6600)

The Rangers allow 27.4 scoring chances a game with 10.3 high danger shot attempts. I definitely want some Flyers tonight and it starts with JVR for me.

Defensemen

My Favorite

Rasmus Andersson - CGY (DK: $4700, FD: $4500)

Great price on a PP1 defenseman who takes a lot of shots.

Bottom of the Barrel

Here are my cheap calls for a skater to pick up a goal or assist.

Victor Rask: MIN - C (DK: $2.7K, FD: $4.5K)

Jakob Silfverberg: ANH - W (DK: $4K, FD: $5.1K)

Vince Dunn: STL - D (DK: $3.9K, FD: $4K)

Line Stacks

Here are my ranked stacks for tonight:

Favorite Stacks Tonight:

Risk-It-For-The-Biscuit Stacks:

DFS Strategy - My Approach Tonight

Last night I was thinking about correlation and wondering if it's as important as we've been taught. Especially with the new scoring on DraftKings, it seems like plugging in 3 forwards from one team and 3 forwards from another team is no longer the sauce. As someone who does multi-entry, I've been playing more with including 1 D in my stacks or limiting stacks to 2 players at times.

As I see it, you can get a player like Matthews that has a multi-point game, but his linemate Hyman could get a single shot on goal. If you're trying to take down a GPP, that's not going to cut it and you run the risk of a similarly priced one-off scoring 15-20 points. That said, especially if you're hand-building, I think it's ok to leave off certain players from my stacks. I'm starting to look at filling solid lineups from top to bottom, and looking more at players with high shot volume and scoring chances.

But... what do you think?

Disclaimer: Keep in mind, plays and thoughts listed are my own. You should all do your own research and you might (and probably should) disagree with me in some spots. Don't be afraid to go your own way.

Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.

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