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LineStar® Hat Trick 2/19 | Battle of the 'Bert
Written by LineStar Fantasy Life Coach @ZeroInDenver.
Check out the NHL Season Preview & Strategy Guide
Got NHL DFS questions or want to see something covered in this newsletter? Hit me up in LineStar Chat.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/936e977b-9340-4223-ba73-d7ee36fe6fc9/giphy__2821_29.gif)
Welcome back to the NHL Hat Trick.
ICYMI - The NHL Season Preview & Strategy guide goes over the basics of NHL DFS and what I look for when researching players.
Short slate. Obvious chalk in McDavid. What do we do? For me, I just go with it. It goes back to the "am I not going to play a good player because other people are playing him?" I give my thoughts and approach below.
But first, let's dive into tonight's slate.
Tonight's Slate
Here's numbers on the teams from their past 10 games. Generally, I start my research by looking for teams in good spots. For example, teams that score goals (GF60) that are facing teams that give up goals (GA60). I also look at teams that shoot a lot (CF60) that are facing teams that give up a lot of shots (CA60).
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/c42fbf28-3de8-4988-bff1-870dd530356c/main.png)
Goaltender Rankings
How to Interpret This: I've added LineStar Projected Ownership, LineStar Projected Fantasy Points, and Goalie GAA (Goals Saved Above Average), and Saves/60, along with my projected upside for each goalie. Generally, I'm looking for goalies that I think will get a win with a positive (green) GSAA and a high saves number.
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/67de60a8-c8e3-4919-9bf3-4c2ed55f6ee0/G.png)
As always - double-check that your goalie is starting before the game starts.
My Favorite:
Mike Smith - EDM (DK: $7100, FD: $7300) *CONFIRMED STARTER*
It's 2021 and I'm touting Mike Smith...
I'll say what I've said in past slates. I don't like spending up for goalie, and I'll take a chance on a cheap Mike Smith (especially when I'll be correlating with EDM PP1 stacks) against a Flames team that is only scoring 2.6 goals a game.
Forwards and Defensemen Rankings
How to Interpret C/D/W charts: In NHL DFS, I think it's most important to look at peripheral stats instead of goals which is why I put so much emphasis on shots. This includes shot attempts, high danger shot attempts (those shot attempts closest to the net with the highest probability of going into the net), and shots on goal. I've included projections and average fantasy points to see how each compares so you can more easily find value.
Center
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/ebde7fbf-efb0-4fd8-9426-577807b598af/C.png)
My Favorite
Connor McDavid - EDM (DK: $8800, FD: $9100)
I'm not going to not play McDavid on a 4-game slate when there's no solid alternative.
Wing
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/4d91213e-c00f-4491-9014-4274724f3e45/W.png)
My Favorite:
Brock Boeser - VAN (DK: $6200, FD: $7200)
Vancouver is an interesting play for me tonight because they face a Winnipeg team that allows a lot of shot attempts. At the same time, Vancouver puts a lot of shots on net. This often translates to success so I'm going to have a lot of interest in Vancouver tonight and it starts with Boeser and the VAN2 line tonight.
Defensemen
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/e80b673f-3b58-4948-864a-c6c430e01018/D.png)
My Favorite
Quinn Hughes - VAN (DK: $5400, FD: $5600)
Something I consciously think of when writing this newsletter is picking favorites that you can build a solid lineup behind if you're using my picks. If you're following me so far with Smith, McDavid, and Boeser, I think you're going to have a harder time building a viable lineup with Hamilton or Barrie. I think Hughes is still a solid option for a solid PP1 defenseman on this slate and gets some PP1 correlation with Boeser.
Bottom of the Barrel
Here are my cheap calls for a skater to pick up a goal or assist.
Brandon Sutter: VAN - C (DK: $3.1K, FD: $3.2K)
Filip Zadina: DET - W (DK: $3.6K, FD: $3.4K)
Gustav Forsling: FLA - D (DK: $3.7K, FD: $4.3K)
Line Stacks
Here are my ranked stacks for tonight:
Favorite Stacks Tonight:
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/5e5d670a-6265-4f62-9847-bb3d1b9e12c8/fave.png)
Risk-It-For-The-Biscuit Stacks:
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/eca4a26b-c91d-4e46-9daf-2f6a5ddb7254/biscuit.png)
DFS Strategy - Battle of the 'Bert
Tonight we get another "Battle of the 'Bert" with Edmonton and Calgary. The last game ended in a 4-6 score and I wouldn't be surprised if tonight is another high scoring affair.
For me, my general approach is to get someone like McDavid and/or Draisaitl in as many lineups as possible. On a short slate like tonight, I'd hate to miss out on a multi-point game from either. I'll still be doing a lot of 3-3 and 4-3 stacks, but will probably pair McDavid or Draisaitl as a one-off. This will make it much harder to fit inexpensive stacks like CHI1 or WPG1, but I think will result in more unique lineups for tonight. Anyway, that's my plan.
But... what do you think?
Disclaimer: Keep in mind, plays and thoughts listed are my own. You should all do your own research and you might (and probably should) disagree with me in some spots. Don't be afraid to go your own way.
Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.
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