LineStar® Hat Trick 12/7 | Four-Game Friday Feeling

Written by LineStar Fantasy Life Coach @ZeroInDenver. Got NHL DFS questions or want to see something covered in this newsletter? Hit me up in LineStar Chat.

Welcome back to the NHL Hat Trick.

I'll be honest, last night wasn't great for me. Pittsburgh was the right answer and you probably had a great night if you had Pittsburgh with Vancouver or Vegas. That's DFS for you, but we'll move on and we have a 4-game slate tonight.

At a glance, I expect Winnipeg, Dallas, and Edmonton to be the most popular tonight.

Heads up - at the time of this writing, most goalies have NOT been confirmed. Keep an eye on chat for updates throughout the day.

🅿️ Jake Allen vs ✅ Connor Hellebuyck

🅿️ Martin Jones vs ✅ Ben Bishop

🅿️ Devan Dubnyk vs ✅ Cam Talbot

🅿️ Petr Mrazek vs 🅿️ John Gibson

Let's look at my favorites on the slate:

Goaltending

So as most of you know, I'm a heavy GPP player. So I'm approaching goalie selection purely looking at upside for tonight. I'll be leaning heavy on goaltenders that will be facing a high volume of shots tonight as they'll have some of the biggest upside if they can limit goals and pick up a win.

Here are my three favorite goaltenders on the night:

John Gibson, ANH (vs CAR) (DK: $8.2K, FD: $8.5K)

Gibson has been one of the best goaltenders this season and faces a Carolina team that is averaging 33.6 shots on net over their last 10 games, but Carolina is only scoring 1.99 goals a game over that time.

Cam Talbot, EDM (vs MIN) (DK: $7.9K, FD: $7.6K)

Talbot is another goalie facing a team that is shooting the puck a lot (58.1 shot attempts and 33.1 shots on net). They're averaging 3 goals a game over their last 10, but played last night. I like Talbot's price, especially on FanDuel.

Jake Allen, STL (@ WPG) (DK: $6.8K, FD: $7.6K)

I've said this before about Jake Allen, he can be really good or he can be really bad. On a four-game slate, I'm willing to chance it, as he's cheap and I can fit almost anyone that I want with him. He'll also face a good shot volume, though he has a tough matchup against a Winnipeg team that is scoring 3.81 goals a game over their last 10 games.

#BiscuitInTheBasketWatchList 🚨

For those of you who aren’t familiar with hockey, “biscuit in the basket” is a term for scoring a goal. Here I’m going to give a center, wing, and defensemen for the top and value pricing tiers that I think has a good chance to score a goal. Remember - I gave some tips last week on numbers that I look for, and these players check most (if not all my boxes):

Mark Scheifele: WPG - C (DK: $7.4K, FD: $8.7K)

Top ranked skater on the slate. Scheifele faces a St Louis team that is giving up 3.46 goals per game over their last 10 games. Scheifele is seeing 3.8 scoring chances a game with 5 shot attempts (1.8 high danger) and 4 shots on goal in over 24 minutes a game over his last 5 games.

Leon Draisaitl: EDM - LW (DK: $6.7K, FD: $6.8K)

Draisaitl's numbers on his own aren't that interesting, aside from his minutes, but he skates with McDavid on the top line and top powerplay unit and that's where I see his value for tonight, as he has a 60 CF%.

Patrik Laine: WPG - RW (DK: $7.5K, FD: $8.5K)

Winnipeg should see solid ownership and for good reason tonight. I've already mentioned Scheifele, and even though they're not on the same line, they share time on the powerplay unit and pairing the two is a good way to get exposure to multiple even-strength lines for a team projected to score over 3 goals tonight.

Oscar Klefbom: EDM - D (DK: $5.9K, FD: $5.7K)

He's only averaging 2.6 shots on net over his last 5, but he's shooting the puck a lot (7.4 shot attempts per game) and blocks shots as well. Solid floor and solid ceiling.

Value Twigs 💲

Similar to the biscuit-in-the-basket watch list, in this section I’ll provide a center, wing, and defensemen who are priced in the value tier. If I can find someone under priced on both sites, I’ll highlight them. But in some cases, it could be site specific.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: EDM - C (DK: $5.5K, FD: $5.6K)

Another player that pairs well with who I've mentioned before with Draisaitl and Klefbom. Works well if you want to do a PP1 stack of Edmonton tonight.

Evander Kane: SJ- LW (DK: $4.9K, FD: $5.8K)

Should be overlooked since he's on the third line for San Jose, but he's averaging 5.6 shot attempts (2.4 high danger) and 3.6 shots on net over his last 5 games.

Pontus Aberg: ANH - RW (DK: $5.4K, FD: $3.7K)

I prefer Aberg for his price on FanDuel, but don't hate him on DraftKings if you're going to stack the top line for Anaheim.

Dougie Hamilton: CAR - D (DK: $4.8K, FD: $5.4K)

Cheaper than Klefbom but similar in that he shoots the puck a lot - 6.8 shot attempts and 4 shots on net a game over his last 5 games.

Bottom of the Barrel

I did this last season, and I’ll do it again this season. These are the players in the bottom of the salary barrel but are in a good spot tonight.

Lucas Wallmark: CAR - C (DK: $3.7K, FD: $3.2K)

David Perron: STL - LW (DK: $3.7K, FD: $4.8K)

Daniel Sprong: ANH - RW (DK: $3K, FD: $3.6K)

Adam Larsson: EDM - D (DK: $3.5K, FD: $4K)

Line Stacks

Line stacking is a common strategy in GPP. You’ll see a lot of winning lineups where players are stacked from the same forward lines or power play lines.

Since it's a small slate, I'm going to do things a little different. I'm going to list two of the the highest-owned stacks, two of my favorite stacks, and two "biscuit" (high risk, high reward) stacks:

High-Ownership:

WPG: Ehlers-Scheifele-Wheeler (DK: $19,800, FD: $22,300)

DAL Benn-Seguin-Radulov (DK: $20,700, FD: $22,100)

Favorite stacks:

ANH: Rakell-Getzlaf-Aberg (DK: $17,300 FD: $17,900)

WPG: Connor-Little-Laine (DK: $17,200 FD: $18,900)

Biscuit stacks:

SJ: Kane-Suomela-Donskoi (DK: $10,900 FD: $12,800)

CAR: Svechnikov-Wallmark-Martinook (DK: $12,400 FD: $10,400)

Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.