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- LineStar® Hat Trick 03/03 | Sometimes DFS will slap you
LineStar® Hat Trick 03/03 | Sometimes DFS will slap you
Written by LineStar Fantasy Life Coach @ZeroInDenver.
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![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/633de5ec-a43f-4381-a954-a1557ac6f500/giphy__2827_29.gif)
Welcome back to the NHL Hat Trick.
ICYMI - The NHL Season Preview & Strategy guide goes over the basics of NHL DFS and what I look for when researching players.
Losing is a part of DFS. Sometimes it feels like everyone is winning except for you, but that's just not reality. More people share their highlights than losses in chats and Twitter.
I don't mention this much, but I got slapped hard last night. I think I won back 40% of my entry fees overall. I was having a good night for the first couple hours into the slate but started to slowly fall as the final two games of the slate kicked off.
Everyone handles losing differently, but I always prefer rechecking my work to see if there was something that I missed or could have done differently. Sometimes I make a mistake with stack percentages or by excluding (or including) a team, stack, or player. Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately) I didn't find that I would have had a much different result when I reran a build.
At that point, I find I just have to be ok with the results and move on. That's why I love daily fantasy sports. It pays (literally) to have a short memory. The player that burns you one day can win you a GPP the next day.
With that said... LETSSSSSSSSSSGOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
Tonight's Slate
Here's numbers on the teams from their past 10 games. Generally, I start my research by looking for teams in good spots. For example, teams that score goals (GF60) that are facing teams that give up goals (GA60). I also look at teams that shoot a lot (CF60) that are facing teams that give up a lot of shots (CA60).
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/5ec867d2-60ef-4f88-be79-dad59c40371d/main.png)
Goaltender Rankings
How to Interpret This: I've added LineStar Projected Ownership, LineStar Projected Fantasy Points, and Goalie GAA (Goals Saved Above Average), and Saves/60, along with my projected upside for each goalie. Generally, I'm looking for goalies that I think will get a win with a positive (green) GSAA and a high saves number.
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As always - double-check that your goalie is starting before the game starts.
My Favorite:
Jonathan Quick - LAK (DK: $7400, FD: $7300) *PROJECTED STARTER*
The Yotes haven't been DFS darlings for me this season. They're only scoring 2.4 goals a game. Quick has been playing well and I love his price. He isn't confirmed yet, but fortunately, Peterson is priced the same, and I'll swap to him if he ends up starting.
Forwards and Defensemen Rankings
How to Interpret C/D/W charts: In NHL DFS, I think it's most important to look at peripheral stats instead of goals which is why I put so much emphasis on shots. This includes shot attempts, high danger shot attempts (those shot attempts closest to the net with the highest probability of going into the net), and shots on goal. I've included projections and average fantasy points to see how each compares so you can more easily find value.
Center
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My Favorite
Nazem Kadri - COL (DK: $5300, FD: $6600)
There's a lot of top-tier centers on today's slate, but I really like the value in Kadri. He takes shots and sees a good amount of scoring chances each night. I like Kadri both as a one-off and as part of a COL PP1 stack.
Wing
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/b7f2db2d-b7d8-4c0f-bcd7-3881257402de/W.png)
My Favorite:
Rickard Rakell - ANH (DK: $4000, FD: $5400)
On a slate with a lot of high-salary options, you're going to need to find some cheaper one-offs to save salary in your lineups. Rakell is that dude for me. He takes a lot of shots and gets PP1 time.
Defensemen
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My Favorite
Shea Theodore - VGK (DK: $5700, FD: $6200)
I've mentioned him many times before, but he's kind of a natural lock for me. His shot volume gives him a good floor and makes him a good candidate to pick up an assist or two if one of those shots gets redirected to the back of the net.
Bottom of the Barrel
Here are my cheap calls for a skater to pick up a goal or assist.
Isac Lundestrom: ANH - C (DK: $2.7K, FD: $3.3K)
Jordan Greenway: MIN - W (DK: $3.2K, FD: $4K)
Ryan Graves: COL- D (DK: $3.7K, FD: $4.2K)
Line Stacks
Here are my ranked stacks for tonight:
Favorite Stacks Tonight:
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/dde9c83f-bfa4-4c72-a355-29e35b451012/fave.png)
Risk-It-For-The-Biscuit Stacks:
![](https://media.beehiiv.com/cdn-cgi/image/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80/uploads/asset/file/a4f396e6-1661-4944-b671-0b4c4c735ce9/biscuit.png)
Disclaimer: Keep in mind, plays and thoughts listed are my own. You should all do your own research and you might (and probably should) disagree with me in some spots. Don't be afraid to go your own way.
Good luck today! Tag me in the LineStar Chat @ZeroInDenver if you have any questions or feedback. Follow me on Twitter @ZeroInDenver.
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